Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 187.346737 217.726271 252.798527 296.592035 350.243098 414.388278 497.729388
2025-08-03 148.492109 186.770628 235.660683 303.861876 398.468711 528.060338 724.454782
2025-08-10 124.804919 165.340175 220.730083 304.169166 430.764991 622.899165 951.990236
2025-08-17 109.862271 151.600404 211.784541 308.325174 466.291659 728.490607 1230.683116
2025-08-24 97.503948 139.018299 201.547259 307.211701 491.575011 822.571936 1524.596884
2025-08-31 88.052510 129.128635 193.388191 307.105752 517.405831 923.591357 1874.348936
2025-09-07 81.359539 122.454031 189.050770 312.166302 553.011581 1053.165120 2348.953037
2025-09-14 72.660183 111.434035 175.904979 298.998873 550.197839 1101.773690 2651.034758
2025-09-21 67.375399 105.409666 170.410176 298.923589 573.654128 1215.885167 3196.956355
2025-09-28 63.190748 100.753501 166.655348 301.433075 603.048742 1354.051156 3908.639105
2025-10-05 61.859783 100.867032 171.477080 321.907476 678.056990 1638.371881 5353.596228
2025-10-12 60.299473 100.366075 175.021147 340.286680 753.228258 1957.500789 7278.794836
2025-10-19 56.473415 95.716837 170.737789 342.640525 793.908282 2210.766728 9349.743384
2025-10-26 53.611566 92.631873 169.299756 351.664088 857.209247 2583.201258 12758.505169
2025-11-02 50.284060 88.271718 164.627707 352.042509 896.387394 2897.032255 16545.087681
2025-11-09 47.706311 85.100751 162.023469 357.029754 951.758981 3318.001764 22376.780495
2025-11-16 44.906182 81.193741 157.314256 355.693367 986.931370 3682.685342 29089.023374
2025-11-23 42.476185 77.805480 153.333984 355.566217 1026.773289 4107.690395 38513.320704
2025-11-30 40.688617 75.578202 151.706761 361.641590 1091.700229 4729.436230 54657.466992
2025-12-07 37.684423 70.517315 142.941410 345.843122 1069.566547 4844.100020 63337.026521
2025-12-14 35.896741 67.919859 139.721609 345.752885 1109.742667 5388.948461 86439.587285
2025-12-21 34.431311 65.895545 137.649190 348.761376 1164.517022 6102.862182 124473.062772
2025-12-28 34.195539 66.554068 142.220621 373.348843 1324.378099 7833.854015 244109.423760